Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: SMART GAS CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)
Line Horse
Fate Of Fortune
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cognac 3 61.0 1 0.00 8.5 95 87 87 -8 2 Luneluck 2 59.5 2 0.50 5.5 81 90 90 +9 3 Fate Of Fortune 3 52.0 3 0.90 8.5 69 69 69 +0 4 Magic Surprise 2 53.5 4 1.00 5.5 80 78 78 -2 5 Circumbendibus 3 59.0 5 1.70 8.5 80 83 83 +3 6 Grand Appeal 3 56.0 6 2.10 8.5 74 77 77 +3 7 El Dante 7 60.5 7 2.35 0.0 83 103 103 +20 8 Agrado 3 60.0 8 2.95 8.5 82 85 85 +3 9 Music Is Life 2 55.0 9 4.55 5.5 72 81 81 +9 10 Intrepid 3 52.5 10 4.75 8.5 75 70 70 -5 11 Boardwalk Breeze 2 54.5 11 6.15 5.5 82 80 80 -2 12 Mighty Zambezi 2 61.5 12 7.20 5.5 96 94 94 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cognac | 95 | 97 | 87 | +10 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Luneluck | 81 | 82 | 90 | -8 | 5.5 | - | |
| 3 | Fate Of Fortune Line | 69 | 77 | 69 | +8 | 8.5 | ||
| 4 | Magic Surprise | 80 | 92 | 78 | +14 | 5.5 | - | |
| 5 | Circumbendibus | 80 | 97 | 83 | +14 | 8.5 | - | |
| 6 | Grand Appeal | 74 | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 8.5 | - | |
| 7 | El Dante | 83 | 87 | 103 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Agrado | 82 | 85 | 85 | ✓ Match | 8.5 | - | |
| 9 | Music Is Life | 72 | 71 | 81 | -10 | 5.5 | - | |
| 10 | Intrepid | 75 | 73 | 70 | +3 | 8.5 | - | |
| 11 | Boardwalk Breeze | 82 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 5.5 | - | |
| 12 | Mighty Zambezi | 96 | 80 | 94 | -14 | 5.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points