Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)
Line Horse
Red Mountain
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Gotta Go Eddie 2 55.0 1 0.00 0.0 88 90 90 +2 2 Red Mountain 4 52.0 2 0.05 5.0 74 74 74 +0 3 Imperial Power 4 60.5 3 0.15 5.0 83 91 91 +8 4 Master Du Rouvray 2 56.0 4 2.15 0.0 75 95 95 +20 5 Viva Spirit 2 57.5 5 3.15 0.0 77 97 97 +20 6 Kimball O'Hara 2 54.0 6 3.20 0.0 70 90 90 +20 7 Star Of The Future 3 58.0 7 3.60 8.0 78 81 81 +3 8 Royal Sword 2 52.0 8 4.30 0.0 81 84 84 +3 9 Lucky Dollar 2 60.0 9 6.70 0.0 82 100 100 +18 10 Total Surrender 5 59.5 10 7.20 0.0 81 99 99 +18 99 Vila Vicosa 3 55.5 99 0.00 8.0 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotta Go Eddie | 88 | 93 | 90 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Red Mountain Line | 74 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Imperial Power | 83 | 89 | 91 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Master Du Rouvray | 75 | 81 | 95 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Viva Spirit | 77 | 72 | 97 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Kimball O'Hara | 70 | 61 | 90 | -29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Star Of The Future | 78 | 78 | 81 | -3 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Royal Sword | 81 | 87 | 84 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Lucky Dollar | 82 | 85 | 100 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Total Surrender | 81 | 74 | 99 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Vila Vicosa | - | 74 | 75 | -1 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points