Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 24 OCTOBER MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Hospices De Beaune
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 King Rahul 4 50.0 1 0.00 4.5 56 59 56 +0 2 Hospices De Beaune 3 58.0 2 0.10 7.0 70 70 70 +0 3 Cruzador 6 57.5 3 0.60 0.0 63 88 88 +25 4 Russian Empire 5 53.5 4 0.70 0.0 55 80 80 +25 5 King's Sailor 3 58.0 5 0.80 7.0 65 74 74 +9 6 Cherry Oh Baby 4 62.0 6 0.85 4.5 72 87 87 +15 7 Brooksider 3 57.0 7 1.60 7.0 63 71 71 +8 8 Maneki Neko 2 54.5 8 2.10 0.0 65 80 80 +15 9 Potent Captain 4 57.0 9 3.35 4.5 62 74 74 +12 10 King Viserys 4 63.0 10 3.85 4.5 74 86 86 +12 11 Duchess Of Seville 4 54.0 11 5.10 4.5 56 67 67 +11 12 Arabian Blue 2 60.5 12 12.35 0.0 83 89 89 +6 13 Bright Future 3 57.0 13 99.99 7.0 63 68 68 +5 99 Captain Clever 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 88 88 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | King Rahul | 56 | 63 | 56 | +7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Hospices De Beaune Line | 70 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 7.0 | ||
| 3 | Cruzador | 63 | 61 | 88 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Russian Empire | 55 | 53 | 80 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | King's Sailor | 65 | 67 | 74 | -7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Cherry Oh Baby | 72 | 78 | 87 | -9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Brooksider | 63 | 55 | 71 | -16 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Maneki Neko | 65 | 60 | 80 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Potent Captain | 62 | 54 | 74 | -20 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | King Viserys | 74 | 73 | 86 | -13 | 4.5 | - | |
| 11 | Duchess Of Seville | 56 | 53 | 67 | -14 | 4.5 | - | |
| 12 | Arabian Blue | 83 | 81 | 89 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Bright Future | 63 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Captain Clever | - | 63 | 88 | -25 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points