Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: TOTE - SPEED. POWER. GLORY CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)
Line Horse
Dapper
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Treaty Of Paris 2 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 95 83 83 -12 2 Lions Eye 2 53.5 2 0.70 0.0 69 76 76 +7 3 Dapper 2 55.5 3 0.80 0.0 79 79 79 +0 4 Voldemort 6 58.0 4 1.50 0.0 81 83 83 +2 5 El Dante 7 60.5 5 1.65 0.0 83 88 88 +5 6 Thunderbird 4 55.5 6 1.85 4.5 73 69 69 -4 7 Rooster Bradshaw 3 59.0 7 2.35 7.0 81 70 71 -10 8 Mister Nibbles 3 60.5 8 2.75 7.0 84 73 74 -10 9 Targaryen Knight 2 53.0 9 4.05 0.0 82 71 72 -10 10 Town Crier 2 53.0 10 5.15 0.0 82 70 72 -10 11 White Seahorse 2 58.5 11 5.45 0.0 80 81 81 +1 12 Lake Como 3 49.5 12 5.95 7.0 64 49 54 -10 13 Winter Waves 7 56.0 13 6.95 0.0 74 76 76 +2 14 Unicorn Alert 3 55.5 14 9.95 7.0 73 61 63 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Treaty Of Paris | 95 | 100 | 83 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Lions Eye | 69 | 68 | 76 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Dapper Line | 79 | 72 | 79 | -7 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Voldemort | 81 | 81 | 83 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | El Dante | 83 | 87 | 88 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Thunderbird | 73 | 70 | 69 | +1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Rooster Bradshaw | 81 | 78 | 71 | +7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Mister Nibbles | 84 | 81 | 74 | +7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Targaryen Knight | 82 | 78 | 72 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Town Crier | 82 | 81 | 72 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | White Seahorse | 80 | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Lake Como | 64 | 61 | 54 | +7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 13 | Winter Waves | 74 | 77 | 76 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Unicorn Alert | 73 | 61 | 63 | -2 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points