Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE C STAKES (For All Horses)

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Line Horse
Apex Predator
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Rainbow Reward       5    61.5    1    0.00     0.0   85    99           91    +6
2    Pinetti              2    58.5    2    1.30     5.5   84    82           82    -2
3    Love My Style        2    57.0    3    3.30     5.5   82    79           79    -3
4    Apex Predator        4    57.0    4    4.20     10.0  70    70           70    +0
5    Counter Attack       3    57.0    5    4.40     8.5   71    73           73    +2
6    Magical Sky          2    56.0    6    5.45     5.5   83    77           77    -6
7    Northern Warrior     7    60.0    7    7.05     0.0   78    96           96    +18
8    Tripping Thunder     3    61.5    8    8.75     8.5   80    82           82    +2
9    Kinshin Sha          4    58.5    9    9.15     10.0  74    73           73    -1
10   Cowdray Park         3    57.0    10   10.15    8.5   72    73           73    +1
99   Perfume Power        2    53.5    99   0.00     5.5   -     72           72    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Rainbow Reward 85 89 91 -2 0.0 -
2 Pinetti 84 84 82 +2 5.5 -
3 Love My Style 82 75 79 -4 5.5 -
4 Apex Predator Line 70 69 70 -1 10.0
5 Counter Attack 71 67 73 -6 8.5 -
6 Magical Sky 83 84 77 +7 5.5 -
7 Northern Warrior 78 73 96 -23 0.0 -
8 Tripping Thunder 80 85 82 +3 8.5 -
9 Kinshin Sha 74 62 73 -11 10.0 -
10 Cowdray Park 72 80 73 +7 8.5 -
99 Perfume Power - 90 72 +18 5.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points