Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: RACING TODAY MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Circle Of Grace
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Chabal 3 59.0 1 0.00 9.0 66 53 66 +0 2 Majalun 3 59.0 2 2.10 9.0 66 58 58 -8 3 Hat Furious 4 55.5 3 2.50 5.0 56 58 58 +2 4 Circle Of Grace 4 54.5 4 3.20 5.0 55 55 55 +0 5 Instant Attraction 3 57.5 5 3.70 9.0 66 53 56 -10 6 Copper Plate 3 60.5 6 4.20 9.0 69 58 59 -10 7 Crepuscolo 4 54.0 7 4.70 5.0 54 52 52 -2 8 The Merciful 5 54.5 8 4.95 0.0 55 62 62 +7 9 Gold De Grace 4 50.0 9 5.95 5.0 54 43 44 -10 10 Flag Bearer 3 56.5 10 6.20 9.0 64 48 54 -10 11 Count Your Chances 5 53.5 11 7.90 0.0 53 60 60 +7 12 Pomozelous 3 59.0 12 10.15 9.0 64 53 54 -10 13 Red Sparrow 3 57.0 13 11.75 9.0 62 49 52 -10 99 Vava Vegas 5 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 65 65 +0 99 Casus Belli 3 59.0 99 0.00 9.0 - 53 53 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chabal | 66 | 73 | 66 | +7 | 9.0 | - | |
| 2 | Majalun | 66 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 9.0 | - | |
| 3 | Hat Furious | 56 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Circle Of Grace Line | 55 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 5.0 | ||
| 5 | Instant Attraction | 66 | 60 | 56 | +4 | 9.0 | - | |
| 6 | Copper Plate | 69 | 75 | 59 | +16 | 9.0 | - | |
| 7 | Crepuscolo | 54 | 58 | 52 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | The Merciful | 55 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Gold De Grace | 54 | 51 | 44 | +7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Flag Bearer | 64 | 60 | 54 | +6 | 9.0 | - | |
| 11 | Count Your Chances | 53 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Pomozelous | 64 | 62 | 54 | +8 | 9.0 | - | |
| 13 | Red Sparrow | 62 | 55 | 52 | +3 | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | Vava Vegas | - | 58 | 65 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Casus Belli | - | 64 | 53 | +11 | 9.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points