Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY OPEN MAIDEN (F & M) (For all Maiden Fillies & Mares)
Line Horse
Dynasty's Last
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
14 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Up Up And Away 3 60.0 1 0.00 8.5 - 53 6 +6 2 Atlantic Pearl 2 50.0 2 1.25 5.5 69 39 59 -10 3 Dynasty's Last 5 49.5 3 2.00 0.0 49 49 49 +0 4 Midnight Music 3 55.5 4 2.75 8.5 61 44 51 -10 5 Pomerol 3 60.0 5 3.50 8.5 - 53 53 +53 6 Vino Rioja 2 51.5 6 5.00 5.5 61 42 51 -10 7 Ripsnorter 4 61.0 7 5.75 10.0 - 52 52 +52 8 Looking Good 2 51.5 8 6.00 5.5 62 42 52 -10 9 Mediterraneanflame 3 51.5 9 6.25 8.5 62 36 52 -10 10 Move To The Groove 3 52.0 10 7.00 8.5 40 37 37 -3 11 Money Galore 2 52.0 11 8.00 5.5 65 43 55 -10 12 Zumsee 2 53.5 12 11.25 5.5 68 46 58 -10 13 Elusive Bomba 3 56.0 13 12.00 8.5 61 45 51 -10 14 Caughtubysurprise 3 48.0 14 13.25 8.5 52 29 42 -10 15 Golden Alexia 3 59.0 15 13.75 8.5 68 51 58 -10 99 Sweet Cake 2 51.0 99 0.00 5.5 - 41 41 +0 99 Five Star Magic 4 55.5 99 0.00 10.0 - 41 41 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Up Up And Away | - | 82 | 6 | +76 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Atlantic Pearl | 69 | 72 | 59 | +13 | 5.5 | - | |
| 3 | Dynasty's Last Line | 49 | 61 | 49 | +12 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Midnight Music | 61 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 8.5 | - | |
| 5 | Pomerol | - | 78 | 53 | +25 | 8.5 | - | |
| 6 | Vino Rioja | 61 | 60 | 51 | +9 | 5.5 | - | |
| 7 | Ripsnorter | - | 57 | 52 | +5 | 10.0 | - | |
| 8 | Looking Good | 62 | 64 | 52 | +12 | 5.5 | - | |
| 9 | Mediterraneanflame | 62 | 60 | 52 | +8 | 8.5 | - | |
| 10 | Move To The Groove | 40 | 39 | 37 | +2 | 8.5 | - | |
| 11 | Money Galore | 65 | 63 | 55 | +8 | 5.5 | - | |
| 12 | Zumsee | 68 | 66 | 58 | +8 | 5.5 | - | |
| 13 | Elusive Bomba | 61 | 59 | 51 | +8 | 8.5 | - | |
| 14 | Caughtubysurprise | 52 | 52 | 42 | +10 | 8.5 | - | |
| 15 | Golden Alexia | 68 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | Sweet Cake | - | 60 | 41 | +19 | 5.5 | - | |
| 99 | Five Star Magic | - | 61 | 41 | +20 | 10.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points