Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 31 OCTOBER FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Queen Of Jazz
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Happy Wives 3 60.5 1 0.00 8.5 67 61 67 +0 2 Make Believe 2 61.0 2 4.25 5.5 79 68 69 -10 3 Queen Of Jazz 2 59.5 3 4.75 5.5 65 65 65 +0 4 Piton De Neige 4 54.0 4 5.25 10.0 54 45 45 -9 5 Canford Queen 3 57.5 5 7.50 8.5 60 55 55 -5 6 Genovefa 3 60.5 6 8.00 8.5 67 61 61 -6 7 Party Girl 3 59.0 7 9.50 8.5 75 58 65 -10 8 True Design 3 53.5 8 9.75 8.5 53 47 47 -6 9 Cape Capri 2 57.0 9 10.00 5.5 60 60 60 +0 10 Panthera Uncia 3 58.5 10 10.50 8.5 68 57 58 -10 11 Gaelic Dancer 3 57.5 11 12.75 8.5 69 55 59 -10 12 Physiologus 2 55.0 12 16.00 5.5 64 56 56 -8 13 Darlingbudsofmay 2 58.0 13 19.00 5.5 73 62 63 -10 99 Beneath The Moon 2 56.5 99 0.00 5.5 - 59 59 +0 99 Ice Cap 3 56.0 99 0.00 8.5 - 52 52 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Happy Wives | 67 | 80 | 67 | +13 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Make Believe | 79 | 81 | 69 | +12 | 5.5 | - | |
| 3 | Queen Of Jazz Line | 65 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 5.5 | ||
| 4 | Piton De Neige | 54 | 57 | 45 | +12 | 10.0 | - | |
| 5 | Canford Queen | 60 | 59 | 55 | +4 | 8.5 | - | |
| 6 | Genovefa | 67 | 72 | 61 | +11 | 8.5 | - | |
| 7 | Party Girl | 75 | 73 | 65 | +8 | 8.5 | - | |
| 8 | True Design | 53 | 52 | 47 | +5 | 8.5 | - | |
| 9 | Cape Capri | 60 | 63 | 60 | +3 | 5.5 | - | |
| 10 | Panthera Uncia | 68 | 60 | 58 | +2 | 8.5 | - | |
| 11 | Gaelic Dancer | 69 | 64 | 59 | +5 | 8.5 | - | |
| 12 | Physiologus | 64 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 5.5 | - | |
| 13 | Darlingbudsofmay | 73 | 70 | 63 | +7 | 5.5 | - | |
| 99 | Beneath The Moon | - | 59 | 59 | ✓ Match | 5.5 | - | |
| 99 | Ice Cap | - | 54 | 52 | +2 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points