Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: LUCKY FISH TURF LUCK B STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Umfula
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Tenpenny 3 57.0 1 0.00 8.0 90 85 85 -5 2 Industrialstrength 4 55.5 2 0.75 5.0 84 92 92 +8 3 Umfula 3 55.5 3 1.05 8.0 86 86 86 +0 4 Regulation 3 58.5 4 3.05 8.0 93 90 90 -3 5 Handsome Prince 2 58.5 5 4.30 0.0 93 104 104 +11 6 We Have Touchdown 3 58.5 6 5.80 8.0 91 88 88 -3 7 Call To Unite 2 60.0 7 6.55 0.0 96 107 107 +11 8 Voorloopertjie 2 60.0 8 7.55 0.0 94 107 107 +13 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenpenny | 90 | 105 | 85 | +20 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Industrialstrength | 84 | 82 | 92 | -10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Umfula Line | 86 | 83 | 86 | -3 | 8.0 | ||
| 4 | Regulation | 93 | 105 | 90 | +15 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | Handsome Prince | 93 | 91 | 104 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | We Have Touchdown | 91 | 89 | 88 | +1 | 8.0 | - | |
| 7 | Call To Unite | 96 | 94 | 107 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Voorloopertjie | 94 | 96 | 107 | -11 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points