Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)
Line Horse
Quentasia
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dawn Surprise 4 56.0 1 0.00 10.0 62 67 67 +5 2 Littleblackgem 3 56.0 2 1.90 8.5 62 70 70 +8 3 Quentasia 4 52.0 3 4.10 10.0 59 59 59 +0 4 Oh My Gucci Girl 3 58.5 4 4.30 8.5 67 75 75 +8 5 Fate Decreed 3 55.5 5 4.50 8.5 61 69 69 +8 6 Blowin In The Wind 3 61.0 6 4.80 8.5 72 80 80 +8 7 Jazz Diva 3 60.0 7 6.10 8.5 70 78 78 +8 8 Capricious Miss 3 56.0 8 6.90 8.5 62 70 70 +8 9 Shimmering 2 55.5 9 7.90 5.5 80 75 75 -5 10 On Song 2 56.5 10 8.70 5.5 74 77 77 +3 11 Poetic Princess 3 58.0 11 8.85 8.5 66 74 74 +8 12 Sky Velocity 5 51.0 12 12.45 0.0 57 77 77 +20 99 Galla Vanting 2 52.5 99 0.00 5.5 - 69 69 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dawn Surprise | 62 | 79 | 67 | +12 | 10.0 | - | |
| 2 | Littleblackgem | 62 | 61 | 70 | -9 | 8.5 | - | |
| 3 | Quentasia Line | 59 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 10.0 | ||
| 4 | Oh My Gucci Girl | 67 | 62 | 75 | -13 | 8.5 | - | |
| 5 | Fate Decreed | 61 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 8.5 | - | |
| 6 | Blowin In The Wind | 72 | 63 | 80 | -17 | 8.5 | - | |
| 7 | Jazz Diva | 70 | 70 | 78 | -8 | 8.5 | - | |
| 8 | Capricious Miss | 62 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 8.5 | - | |
| 9 | Shimmering | 80 | 74 | 75 | -1 | 5.5 | - | |
| 10 | On Song | 74 | 74 | 77 | -3 | 5.5 | - | |
| 11 | Poetic Princess | 66 | 61 | 74 | -13 | 8.5 | - | |
| 12 | Sky Velocity | 57 | 57 | 77 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Galla Vanting | - | 54 | 69 | -15 | 5.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points