Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 4 NOVEMBER MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Jet Cat
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Peregrine Falcon 4 60.5 1 0.00 10.0 69 49 69 +0 2 Phala Millions 4 59.0 2 0.50 10.0 66 46 56 -10 3 Maverick Queen 3 58.0 3 3.25 8.5 69 47 59 -10 4 Jet Cat 9 56.0 4 4.55 0.0 60 60 60 +0 5 Sahara Dawn 4 52.0 5 6.85 10.0 52 32 42 -10 6 Daring Act 4 54.0 6 7.25 10.0 56 36 46 -10 7 Golden Aspen 6 57.5 7 7.35 0.0 63 63 63 +0 8 Oriental Bouquet 4 52.0 8 7.40 10.0 51 32 41 -10 9 Gal Gadot 8 48.0 9 10.10 0.0 50 44 44 -6 10 Sail The Sky 4 60.0 10 11.70 10.0 68 48 58 -10 11 Falcon Strike 2 59.5 11 11.95 5.5 67 56 57 -10 12 King Bluetooth 2 56.5 12 13.25 5.5 72 50 62 -10 13 Trip To States 5 57.5 13 20.50 0.0 63 63 63 +0 99 Spirited Girl 4 59.5 99 0.00 10.0 - 47 47 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peregrine Falcon | 69 | 74 | 69 | +5 | 10.0 | - | |
| 2 | Phala Millions | 66 | 66 | 56 | +10 | 10.0 | - | |
| 3 | Maverick Queen | 69 | 76 | 59 | +17 | 8.5 | - | |
| 4 | Jet Cat Line | 60 | 60 | 60 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Sahara Dawn | 52 | 52 | 42 | +10 | 10.0 | - | |
| 6 | Daring Act | 56 | 60 | 46 | +14 | 10.0 | - | |
| 7 | Golden Aspen | 63 | 66 | 63 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Oriental Bouquet | 51 | 56 | 41 | +15 | 10.0 | - | |
| 9 | Gal Gadot | 50 | 50 | 44 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Sail The Sky | 68 | 62 | 58 | +4 | 10.0 | - | |
| 11 | Falcon Strike | 67 | 60 | 57 | +3 | 5.5 | - | |
| 12 | King Bluetooth | 72 | 53 | 62 | -9 | 5.5 | - | |
| 13 | Trip To States | 63 | 63 | 63 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Spirited Girl | - | 61 | 47 | +14 | 10.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points