Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: 30 APRIL CHAMPIONS DAY CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 71 and below)
Line Horse
Trust The Fire
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Successful Secret 4 58.0 1 0.00 3.5 67 65 65 -2 2 Trust The Fire 4 58.0 2 2.50 3.5 65 65 65 +0 3 Looking Hot 3 52.5 3 3.50 3.0 63 55 55 -8 4 Money Fighter 4 58.0 4 5.75 3.5 64 65 65 +1 5 Grindelwald 6 58.5 5 6.25 0.0 70 73 73 +3 6 Rising Fenix 3 58.5 6 7.25 3.0 72 67 67 -5 7 Meteoric 3 51.0 7 8.00 3.0 62 52 52 -10 8 Mercer Girl 6 48.5 8 8.50 0.0 55 53 53 -2 9 Nymeria 5 52.5 9 11.25 0.0 51 61 61 +10 10 Just Be Nice 3 58.5 10 11.50 3.0 73 67 67 -6 11 Black Burner 3 58.0 11 12.25 3.0 71 66 66 -5 12 Touch Of Fate 5 54.5 12 28.00 0.0 57 65 65 +8 99 Insatiable 3 58.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 67 67 +0 99 Freedom Dancer 4 54.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 57 57 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Successful Secret | 67 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Trust The Fire Line | 65 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | ||
| 3 | Looking Hot | 63 | 68 | 55 | +13 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Money Fighter | 64 | 58 | 65 | -7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Grindelwald | 70 | 70 | 73 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Rising Fenix | 72 | 63 | 67 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Meteoric | 62 | 76 | 52 | +24 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Mercer Girl | 55 | 53 | 53 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Nymeria | 51 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Just Be Nice | 73 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Black Burner | 71 | 60 | 66 | -6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Touch Of Fate | 57 | 57 | 65 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Insatiable | - | 62 | 67 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Freedom Dancer | - | 40 | 57 | -17 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points