Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 1 NOVEMBER FM 78 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

Line Horse
Merryweather
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Lady Sabrina         3    60.0    1    0.00     8.0   79    78           79    +0
2    Universal Girl (IRE  4    52.0    2    4.30     5.0   62    68           68    +6
3    Merryweather         2    54.5    3    5.20     0.0   83    83           83    +0
4    Zahra Dominia        2    52.0    4    5.40     0.0   78    78           78    +0
5    Paris Fun            2    55.0    5    5.90     0.0   83    84           84    +1
6    Royal Horizon        3    55.5    6    8.40     8.0   69    69           69    +0
7    Willowild            2    57.5    7    8.90     0.0   77    89           89    +12
8    Lapis Lazuli         3    56.0    8    9.80     8.0   71    70           70    -1
9    Northern Kitten      3    52.0    9    10.30    8.0   59    62           62    +3
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Lady Sabrina 79 82 79 +3 8.0 -
2 Universal Girl (IRE) 62 65 68 -3 5.0 -
3 Merryweather Line 83 88 83 +5 0.0
4 Zahra Dominia 78 70 78 -8 0.0 -
5 Paris Fun 83 83 84 -1 0.0 -
6 Royal Horizon 69 68 69 -1 8.0 -
7 Willowild 77 73 89 -16 0.0 -
8 Lapis Lazuli 71 59 70 -11 8.0 -
9 Northern Kitten 59 67 62 +5 8.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points