Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: TAB STARLING STAKES (Grade 3) (For 3 year-old Fillies)
Line Horse
Pretty Persuasive
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Valentina Balducci 2 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 86 91 91 +5 2 Ovation Star 3 59.0 2 0.70 6.0 90 84 84 -6 3 Pretty Persuasive 2 59.0 3 2.60 0.0 93 93 93 +0 4 Daisy Jones 2 59.0 4 3.00 0.0 86 93 93 +7 5 Mamlambo 2 59.0 5 3.60 0.0 92 92 92 +0 6 Elegantrix 2 60.0 6 3.70 0.0 106 94 96 -10 7 Warm Reception 3 59.0 7 5.00 6.0 89 79 79 -10 8 Surprise Party 2 59.0 8 5.10 0.0 81 91 91 +10 9 Back From War 2 59.0 9 9.70 0.0 97 91 91 -6 10 Stormy Day (ARG) 2 59.0 10 10.70 0.0 92 91 91 -1 99 Sister Golden Hair 2 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 91 91 +0 99 Tina Lovelace 2 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 91 91 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Balducci | 86 | 97 | 91 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ovation Star | 90 | 94 | 84 | +10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Pretty Persuasive Line | 93 | 102 | 93 | +9 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Daisy Jones | 86 | 108 | 93 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mamlambo | 92 | 91 | 92 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Elegantrix | 106 | 106 | 96 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Warm Reception | 89 | 100 | 79 | +21 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Surprise Party | 81 | 83 | 91 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Back From War | 97 | 86 | 91 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Stormy Day (ARG) | 92 | 92 | 91 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sister Golden Hair | - | 81 | 91 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Tina Lovelace | - | 95 | 91 | +4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points