Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE OPEN MAIDEN (F & M) (For all Maiden Fillies & Mares)

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Line Horse
Chasing Gold
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Special Glamour      3    58.5    1    0.00     8.0   64    61           61    -3
2    Homing Pigeon        2    55.0    2    1.25     0.0   72    74           74    +2
3    Chasing Gold         2    52.5    3    3.50     0.0   66    66           66    +0
4    Up In Flames         2    57.5    4    4.00     0.0   77    76           76    -1
5    Wait For Me          2    55.0    5    4.40     0.0   72    70           70    -2
6    Rare Earth           3    61.5    6    4.70     8.0   70    67           67    -3
7    Champagne Blaze      2    56.0    7    5.95     0.0   74    72           72    -2
8    Vivo Per Lei         3    59.5    8    7.20     8.0   66    63           63    -3
9    Market Trends        3    50.0    9    7.95     8.0   55    44           45    -10
10   Southampton          4    60.5    10   8.70     4.5   -     72           72    +72
11   See The Sign         3    49.5    11   10.45    8.0   50    43           43    -7
12   Dibble               3    53.5    12   10.85    8.0   52    51           51    -1
99   Cassandra            2    58.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     77           77    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Special Glamour 64 67 61 +6 8.0 -
2 Homing Pigeon 72 77 74 +3 0.0 -
3 Chasing Gold Line 66 69 66 +3 0.0
4 Up In Flames 77 74 76 -2 0.0 -
5 Wait For Me 72 66 70 -4 0.0 -
6 Rare Earth 70 64 67 -3 8.0 -
7 Champagne Blaze 74 72 72 ✓ Match 0.0 -
8 Vivo Per Lei 66 66 63 +3 8.0 -
9 Market Trends 55 50 45 +5 8.0 -
10 Southampton - 72 72 ✓ Match 4.5 -
11 See The Sign 50 54 43 +11 8.0 -
12 Dibble 52 44 51 -7 8.0 -
99 Cassandra - 78 77 +1 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points