Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY OPEN MAIDEN (F & M) (For all Maiden F&M)
Line Horse
Sombreuil
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cheeky Cranberry 3 60.0 1 0.00 7.5 - 75 6 +6 2 Sombreuil 2 55.0 2 0.75 5.0 70 70 70 +0 3 Elusive Bomba 3 51.5 3 1.75 7.5 61 58 58 -3 4 Mediterraneanflame 3 51.5 4 3.00 7.5 62 58 58 -4 5 Tanzanite 2 60.0 5 3.10 5.0 - 80 80 +80 6 French Romance 3 60.0 6 4.35 7.5 - 75 75 +75 7 Night In Japan 3 49.5 7 4.60 7.5 57 54 54 -3 8 Zara Diva 2 49.0 8 9.85 5.0 59 58 58 -1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cheeky Cranberry | - | 83 | 6 | +77 | 7.5 | - | |
| 2 | Sombreuil Line | 70 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Elusive Bomba | 61 | 59 | 58 | +1 | 7.5 | - | |
| 4 | Mediterraneanflame | 62 | 60 | 58 | +2 | 7.5 | - | |
| 5 | Tanzanite | - | 73 | 80 | -7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | French Romance | - | - | 75 | -75 | 7.5 | - | |
| 7 | Night In Japan | 57 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 7.5 | - | |
| 8 | Zara Diva | 59 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points