Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: RACING240 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHTS (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Twice The Master
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Futurismo 3 59.0 1 0.00 3.5 72 66 66 -6 2 Twice The Master 3 52.5 2 0.75 3.5 59 59 59 +0 3 Guy Alexander 3 53.0 3 0.80 3.5 60 60 60 +0 4 Spirit Of Silvano 3 56.5 4 2.05 3.5 67 66 66 -1 5 Keep Shining 3 55.0 5 2.15 3.5 63 63 63 +0 6 Tin Cup 3 60.0 6 2.65 3.5 - 72 72 +72 7 Douglas 4 57.5 7 3.65 1.5 62 70 70 +8 8 Golden Grace 3 52.0 8 5.90 3.5 56 52 52 -4 9 Top Of The Mast 3 53.0 9 12.90 3.5 59 54 54 -5 10 Dog Detachment 4 52.5 10 16.15 1.5 51 57 57 +6 11 Magic Moments 3 57.5 11 20.40 3.5 69 63 63 -6 99 Double Duet 3 57.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Futurismo | 72 | 60 | 66 | -6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Twice The Master Line | 59 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 3.5 | ||
| 3 | Guy Alexander | 60 | 72 | 60 | +12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Spirit Of Silvano | 67 | 69 | 66 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Keep Shining | 63 | 64 | 63 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Tin Cup | - | 74 | 72 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Douglas | 62 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Golden Grace | 56 | 52 | 52 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Top Of The Mast | 59 | 54 | 54 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Dog Detachment | 51 | 60 | 57 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Magic Moments | 69 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Double Duet | - | 62 | 62 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points