Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Fear Of Fire
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Konnichiwa 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 72 78 78 +6 2 Sendai 3 56.5 2 2.25 7.0 - 60 60 +60 3 Greenchoice 2 58.0 3 3.25 0.0 83 76 76 -7 4 Fear Of Fire 2 58.0 4 6.00 0.0 74 74 74 +0 5 Sixtyzero 3 58.0 5 7.00 7.0 - 60 60 +60 6 Fast Train 3 58.0 6 7.40 7.0 - 60 60 +60 7 Super Viking 3 58.0 7 7.45 7.0 - 60 60 +60 8 Inquisitor 2 58.0 8 11.20 0.0 - 74 74 +74 9 Heavenly Prince 2 58.0 9 13.20 0.0 67 74 74 +7 10 Driving Snow 2 58.0 10 15.20 0.0 66 74 74 +8 11 Key Board 3 58.0 11 16.70 7.0 - 60 60 +60 12 Ain't No Sunshine 3 58.0 12 22.20 7.0 - 60 60 +60 99 Fort Liam 3 58.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 60 60 +0 99 Luca Da Wheels 2 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 74 74 +0 99 Future Kat 3 58.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 60 60 +0 99 Frequent Traveller 3 58.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 60 60 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Konnichiwa | 72 | 76 | 78 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sendai | - | 78 | 60 | +18 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Greenchoice | 83 | 80 | 76 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Fear Of Fire Line | 74 | 72 | 74 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Sixtyzero | - | 66 | 60 | +6 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Fast Train | - | 82 | 60 | +22 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Super Viking | - | 77 | 60 | +17 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Inquisitor | - | 69 | 74 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Heavenly Prince | 67 | 67 | 74 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Driving Snow | 66 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Key Board | - | 53 | 60 | -7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 12 | Ain't No Sunshine | - | 62 | 60 | +2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Fort Liam | - | 81 | 60 | +21 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Luca Da Wheels | - | 57 | 74 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Future Kat | - | - | 60 | -60 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Frequent Traveller | - | 72 | 60 | +12 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points