Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: BETWAY VICTORY MOON STAKES (Grade 3) (Open)
Line Horse
Field Marshal
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 The Ultimate King 3 51.0 1 0.00 8.0 103 103 103 +0 2 Field Marshal 3 51.0 2 1.10 8.0 107 107 107 +0 3 Navajo Nation 4 51.0 3 2.85 4.5 104 112 112 +8 4 Money Heist 2 51.0 4 3.55 0.0 107 120 120 +13 5 Shoot The Rapids 4 54.0 5 3.80 4.5 112 117 117 +5 6 Son Of Raj 5 60.0 6 4.00 0.0 119 138 138 +19 7 Wild Intent 3 57.0 7 5.40 8.0 116 115 115 -1 8 Thunee Playa 4 51.0 8 6.40 4.5 107 110 110 +3 9 Two Miles West 3 51.0 9 7.00 8.0 93 103 103 +10 10 Solar Sail 3 57.0 10 7.25 8.0 115 115 115 +0 11 Don't Cry For Me 3 51.0 11 9.00 8.0 104 103 103 -1 12 Legend Of Arthur 3 59.0 12 16.25 8.0 117 119 119 +2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Ultimate King | 103 | 117 | 103 | +14 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Field Marshal Line | 107 | 107 | 107 | ✓ Match | 8.0 | ||
| 3 | Navajo Nation | 104 | 104 | 112 | -8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Money Heist | 107 | 106 | 120 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Shoot The Rapids | 112 | 117 | 117 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Son Of Raj | 119 | 116 | 138 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Wild Intent | 116 | 110 | 115 | -5 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Thunee Playa | 107 | 107 | 110 | -3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Two Miles West | 93 | 93 | 103 | -10 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | Solar Sail | 115 | 109 | 115 | -6 | 8.0 | - | |
| 11 | Don't Cry For Me | 104 | 103 | 103 | ✓ Match | 8.0 | - | |
| 12 | Legend Of Arthur | 117 | 110 | 119 | -9 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points