Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Exceeder
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Over Two You         3    53.5    1    0.00     3.5   74    58           74    +0
2    Exceeder             4    57.5    2    1.75     1.5   75    75           75    +0
3    Thefutureisbright    3    56.5    3    4.75     3.5   80    64           70    -10
4    Captive Moon         6    56.0    4    4.95     0.0   79    70           70    -9
5    Tozzetti             3    54.5    5    6.20     3.5   76    60           66    -10
6    Dubai Lights         4    60.5    6    6.30     1.5   81    76           76    -5
7    Policy Target        5    54.5    7    7.80     0.0   69    67           67    -2
8    Fly Over             4    56.5    8    8.30     1.5   73    68           68    -5
9    Night Song           5    60.0    9    9.05     0.0   80    78           78    -2
10   Super Duke           4    56.0    10   11.80    1.5   72    67           67    -5
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Over Two You 74 74 74 ✓ Match 3.5 -
2 Exceeder Line 75 59 75 -16 1.5
3 Thefutureisbright 80 94 70 +24 3.5 -
4 Captive Moon 79 75 70 +5 0.0 -
5 Tozzetti 76 62 66 -4 3.5 -
6 Dubai Lights 81 77 76 +1 1.5 -
7 Policy Target 69 66 67 -1 0.0 -
8 Fly Over 73 71 68 +3 1.5 -
9 Night Song 80 73 78 -5 0.0 -
10 Super Duke 72 71 67 +4 1.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points