Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE C STAKES (For All Horses)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Spirit
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Showgirl             2    56.0    1    0.00     5.0   74    79           79    +5
2    Rhydian              2    60.0    2    2.25     5.0   77    87           87    +10
3    Spirit               2    60.0    3    3.00     5.0   87    87           87    +0
4    Paratrooper          4    57.0    4    5.00     9.0   71    73           73    +2
5    Steadfast            2    60.0    5    5.50     5.0   76    87           87    +11
6    Green Planet         3    57.0    6    6.00     7.5   70    76           76    +6
7    Honor Of Kings       3    60.0    7    6.30     7.5   78    82           82    +4
8    Trippi's Silk        4    58.5    8    6.70     9.0   74    76           76    +2
9    Cavalry Commander    3    58.5    9    7.20     7.5   73    79           79    +6
10   Shifting Path        2    57.0    10   8.45     5.0   71    81           81    +10
11   Diablo               2    57.5    11   8.65     5.0   78    82           82    +4
12   Mont Loisir          4    58.5    12   12.65    9.0   72    76           76    +4
13   Kelp Forest          5    61.5    13   20.15    0.0   79    100          100   +21
14   Gimmeathrill         3    61.5    14   99.99    7.5   78    85           85    +7
99   Rattlesnake          3    62.0    99   0.00     7.5   -     86           86    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Showgirl 74 78 79 -1 5.0 -
2 Rhydian 77 72 87 -15 5.0 -
3 Spirit Line 87 91 87 +4 5.0
4 Paratrooper 71 73 73 ✓ Match 9.0 -
5 Steadfast 76 75 87 -12 5.0 -
6 Green Planet 70 61 76 -15 7.5 -
7 Honor Of Kings 78 76 82 -6 7.5 -
8 Trippi's Silk 74 73 76 -3 9.0 -
9 Cavalry Commander 73 76 79 -3 7.5 -
10 Shifting Path 71 62 81 -19 5.0 -
11 Diablo 78 76 82 -6 5.0 -
12 Mont Loisir 72 68 76 -8 9.0 -
13 Kelp Forest 79 81 100 -19 0.0 -
14 Gimmeathrill 78 73 85 -12 7.5 -
99 Rattlesnake - 85 86 -1 7.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points