Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: Bet with Colossus exclusive on www.tote.co.za MIDDLE STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Syx Hotfix
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sundance Kid 5 55.5 1 0.00 0.0 91 98 97 +6 2 Syx Hotfix 3 56.5 2 2.50 8.0 86 86 86 +0 3 Plum Pudding 3 55.5 3 2.80 8.0 88 84 84 -4 4 El Rey Viene 5 53.5 4 3.20 0.0 75 96 96 +21 5 Afropolitan 6 56.5 5 5.50 0.0 85 100 100 +15 6 She's A Bomber 3 58.5 6 6.40 8.0 101 88 91 -10 99 My Boy Lollipop 2 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 97 97 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sundance Kid | 91 | 96 | 97 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Syx Hotfix Line | 86 | 83 | 86 | -3 | 8.0 | ||
| 3 | Plum Pudding | 88 | 90 | 84 | +6 | 8.0 | - | |
| 4 | El Rey Viene | 75 | 77 | 96 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Afropolitan | 85 | 84 | 100 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | She's A Bomber | 101 | 100 | 91 | +9 | 8.0 | - | |
| 99 | My Boy Lollipop | - | 79 | 97 | -18 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points