Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT MEETING 23 APRIL KENILWORTH FM 75 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Chilly Winter
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Nippy Winter 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 79 69 79 +0 2 Apollo Moon 3 55.0 2 0.50 3.0 69 59 59 -10 3 Chilly Winter 5 59.0 3 1.75 0.0 73 73 73 +0 4 Miss Greenlight 3 60.0 4 3.00 3.0 79 69 69 -10 5 Little Miss Pink 6 58.5 5 3.10 0.0 76 72 72 -4 6 What A State 3 59.5 6 3.30 3.0 78 68 68 -10 7 Seeking Peace 3 59.0 7 3.50 3.0 77 67 67 -10 8 Della's Sword 3 57.5 8 4.25 3.0 74 64 64 -10 9 Fearless Trip 3 60.0 9 4.45 3.0 79 69 69 -10 10 Safe To Assume (AUS 4 54.0 10 4.95 3.5 63 56 56 -7 11 Super Siri 3 56.5 11 5.25 3.0 72 62 62 -10 12 Veronique 6 56.0 12 6.25 0.0 71 67 67 -4 13 Noosa Princess 4 57.0 13 7.00 3.5 69 62 62 -7 14 Impressive Queen 3 55.0 14 8.50 3.0 69 59 59 -10 15 African Winter 4 54.5 15 8.60 3.5 62 57 57 -5 16 Three Hearts 3 57.0 16 10.35 3.0 73 63 63 -10 99 Ciollum's Delight 4 56.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 60 60 +0 99 Black Path 6 55.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nippy Winter | 79 | 66 | 79 | -13 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Apollo Moon | 69 | 63 | 59 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Chilly Winter Line | 73 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Miss Greenlight | 79 | 100 | 69 | +31 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Little Miss Pink | 76 | 66 | 72 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | What A State | 78 | 82 | 68 | +14 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Seeking Peace | 77 | 55 | 67 | -12 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Della's Sword | 74 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Fearless Trip | 79 | 63 | 69 | -6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Safe To Assume (AUS) | 63 | 60 | 56 | +4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Super Siri | 72 | 63 | 62 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Veronique | 71 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Noosa Princess | 69 | 66 | 62 | +4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 14 | Impressive Queen | 69 | 59 | 59 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 15 | African Winter | 62 | 59 | 57 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 16 | Three Hearts | 73 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ciollum's Delight | - | 61 | 60 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Black Path | - | 58 | 66 | -8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points