Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT MEETING 23 APRIL KENILWORTH FM 75 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

Line Horse
Chilly Winter
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Nippy Winter         3    60.0    1    0.00     3.0   79    69           79    +0
2    Apollo Moon          3    55.0    2    0.50     3.0   69    59           59    -10
3    Chilly Winter        5    59.0    3    1.75     0.0   73    73           73    +0
4    Miss Greenlight      3    60.0    4    3.00     3.0   79    69           69    -10
5    Little Miss Pink     6    58.5    5    3.10     0.0   76    72           72    -4
6    What A State         3    59.5    6    3.30     3.0   78    68           68    -10
7    Seeking Peace        3    59.0    7    3.50     3.0   77    67           67    -10
8    Della's Sword        3    57.5    8    4.25     3.0   74    64           64    -10
9    Fearless Trip        3    60.0    9    4.45     3.0   79    69           69    -10
10   Safe To Assume (AUS  4    54.0    10   4.95     3.5   63    56           56    -7
11   Super Siri           3    56.5    11   5.25     3.0   72    62           62    -10
12   Veronique            6    56.0    12   6.25     0.0   71    67           67    -4
13   Noosa Princess       4    57.0    13   7.00     3.5   69    62           62    -7
14   Impressive Queen     3    55.0    14   8.50     3.0   69    59           59    -10
15   African Winter       4    54.5    15   8.60     3.5   62    57           57    -5
16   Three Hearts         3    57.0    16   10.35    3.0   73    63           63    -10
99   Ciollum's Delight    4    56.0    99   0.00     3.5   -     60           60    +0
99   Black Path           6    55.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     66           66    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Nippy Winter 79 66 79 -13 3.0 -
2 Apollo Moon 69 63 59 +4 3.0 -
3 Chilly Winter Line 73 73 73 ✓ Match 0.0
4 Miss Greenlight 79 100 69 +31 3.0 -
5 Little Miss Pink 76 66 72 -6 0.0 -
6 What A State 78 82 68 +14 3.0 -
7 Seeking Peace 77 55 67 -12 3.0 -
8 Della's Sword 74 56 64 -8 3.0 -
9 Fearless Trip 79 63 69 -6 3.0 -
10 Safe To Assume (AUS) 63 60 56 +4 3.5 -
11 Super Siri 72 63 62 +1 3.0 -
12 Veronique 71 56 67 -11 0.0 -
13 Noosa Princess 69 66 62 +4 3.5 -
14 Impressive Queen 69 59 59 ✓ Match 3.0 -
15 African Winter 62 59 57 +2 3.5 -
16 Three Hearts 73 50 63 -13 3.0 -
99 Ciollum's Delight - 61 60 +1 3.5 -
99 Black Path - 58 66 -8 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points