Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Vava Vegas
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Calida 2 61.5 1 0.00 0.0 69 66 69 +0 2 World Heritage 2 49.5 2 1.30 0.0 53 45 45 -8 3 Vava Vegas 5 57.0 3 1.70 0.0 60 60 60 +0 4 Can't Catch Me 5 56.5 4 4.70 0.0 59 56 56 -3 5 Mattiazo 4 58.5 5 4.75 4.0 63 52 53 -10 6 King Bluetooth 2 54.5 6 5.00 0.0 69 52 59 -10 7 Sunshine Day 4 61.5 7 5.75 4.0 69 58 59 -10 8 Northern Kitten 3 56.5 8 6.00 7.0 59 42 49 -10 9 Universal Girl (IRE 4 59.0 9 7.30 4.0 65 53 55 -10 10 Lapis Lazuli 3 60.0 10 8.30 7.0 66 49 56 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Calida | 69 | 72 | 69 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | World Heritage | 53 | 55 | 45 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Vava Vegas Line | 60 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Can't Catch Me | 59 | 58 | 56 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mattiazo | 63 | 69 | 53 | +16 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | King Bluetooth | 69 | 53 | 59 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sunshine Day | 69 | 69 | 59 | +10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Northern Kitten | 59 | 67 | 49 | +18 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Universal Girl (IRE) | 65 | 65 | 55 | +10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Lapis Lazuli | 66 | 59 | 56 | +3 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points