Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: RACE COAST - BRIGHT FUTURE FOR SA HORSE RACING MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Blue Poppy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Blue Poppy 3 58.0 1 0.00 6.0 - - - +0 2 Kali Bwana 2 54.0 2 0.60 0.0 72 9 62 -10 3 Trail Runner 3 60.0 3 0.80 6.0 74 8 64 -10 4 Dee Dee's Delight 3 58.0 4 1.50 6.0 - 3 3 +3 5 Chooks Kiss 3 58.0 5 4.20 6.0 - 1 1 +1 6 Dancing In Demark 2 56.5 6 4.60 0.0 - 9 9 +9 7 Magical Spring 3 58.0 7 5.00 6.0 - - - +0 8 The Scarlet Cat 2 58.0 8 7.30 0.0 63 12 53 -10 9 Lyrical Summer 2 58.0 9 16.80 0.0 - 12 12 +12 99 Sovereign Gem 3 58.0 99 0.00 6.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blue Poppy Line | - | 84 | - | +84 | 6.0 | ||
| 2 | Kali Bwana | 72 | 77 | 62 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Trail Runner | 74 | 75 | 64 | +11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Dee Dee's Delight | - | 66 | 3 | +63 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Chooks Kiss | - | 73 | 1 | +72 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Dancing In Demark | - | 64 | 9 | +55 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Magical Spring | - | 62 | - | +62 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | The Scarlet Cat | 63 | 56 | 53 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Lyrical Summer | - | 42 | 12 | +30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sovereign Gem | - | 75 | - | - | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points