Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE D STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Arverni Princess
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fate Of Fortune 3 63.0 1 0.00 7.5 72 67 67 -5 2 Navajo Dancer 2 57.0 2 1.30 5.0 55 60 60 +5 3 Little Cracker 3 57.5 3 2.30 7.5 66 56 56 -10 4 Arverni Princess 2 59.0 4 2.70 5.0 64 64 64 +0 5 Trafalgar Square 6 60.0 5 2.90 0.0 71 76 76 +5 6 Mask On 3 57.5 6 3.15 7.5 61 56 56 -5 7 Kaapse Klopse 2 60.0 7 4.35 5.0 63 66 66 +3 8 Cappellino 3 58.5 8 4.95 7.5 59 58 58 -1 9 Austrian Beauty 3 60.0 9 6.05 7.5 68 61 61 -7 10 Unicorn Alert 3 61.0 10 7.15 7.5 70 63 63 -7 11 William West 2 57.0 11 9.05 5.0 55 60 60 +5 99 Whereverilaymyhat 4 55.5 99 0.00 9.0 - 49 49 +0 99 Night Tiger 5 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 72 72 +0 99 Prankster 2 59.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fate Of Fortune | 72 | 77 | 67 | +10 | 7.5 | - | |
| 2 | Navajo Dancer | 55 | 56 | 60 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Little Cracker | 66 | 61 | 56 | +5 | 7.5 | - | |
| 4 | Arverni Princess Line | 64 | 67 | 64 | +3 | 5.0 | ||
| 5 | Trafalgar Square | 71 | 69 | 76 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mask On | 61 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 7.5 | - | |
| 7 | Kaapse Klopse | 63 | 60 | 66 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Cappellino | 59 | 61 | 58 | +3 | 7.5 | - | |
| 9 | Austrian Beauty | 68 | 60 | 61 | -1 | 7.5 | - | |
| 10 | Unicorn Alert | 70 | 61 | 63 | -2 | 7.5 | - | |
| 11 | William West | 55 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Whereverilaymyhat | - | 68 | 49 | +19 | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | Night Tiger | - | 67 | 72 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Prankster | - | 69 | 64 | +5 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points