Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Sombreuil
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Jet Querari 3 60.0 1 0.00 7.5 68 72 72 +4 2 Timeline 3 57.5 2 0.50 7.5 64 67 67 +3 3 Sombreuil 2 56.5 3 1.00 5.0 70 70 70 +0 4 Alesian Beau 3 60.0 4 4.75 7.5 68 72 72 +4 5 Buddleja 2 56.5 5 4.85 5.0 69 70 70 +1 6 Epic Thunder 3 60.0 6 8.85 7.5 44 72 72 +28 7 Star Trooper 3 60.0 7 10.60 7.5 58 72 72 +14 8 Devoted 3 59.0 8 11.60 7.5 - 70 70 +70 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jet Querari | 68 | 68 | 72 | -4 | 7.5 | - | |
| 2 | Timeline | 64 | 53 | 67 | -14 | 7.5 | - | |
| 3 | Sombreuil Line | 70 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Alesian Beau | 68 | 66 | 72 | -6 | 7.5 | - | |
| 5 | Buddleja | 69 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Epic Thunder | 44 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 7.5 | - | |
| 7 | Star Trooper | 58 | 51 | 72 | -21 | 7.5 | - | |
| 8 | Devoted | - | 50 | 70 | -20 | 7.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points