Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: LUCKY FISH MYSTIC DASH CONDITIONS PLATE (For all Horses with at least one win)
Line Horse
Great Plains
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Great Plains 3 56.0 1 0.00 6.0 122 122 122 +0 2 Sail The Seas 2 58.0 2 0.50 0.0 127 143 143 +16 3 Snow Pilot 2 56.0 3 1.75 0.0 125 137 137 +12 4 Ponte Pietra 2 50.5 4 4.75 0.0 102 123 123 +21 5 Future Swing 2 61.0 5 6.50 0.0 116 144 144 +28 99 La Pulga 3 54.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 118 118 +0 99 What A Fortune 2 54.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 130 130 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Great Plains Line | 122 | 122 | 122 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | ||
| 2 | Sail The Seas | 127 | 127 | 143 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Snow Pilot | 125 | 122 | 137 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Ponte Pietra | 102 | 102 | 123 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Future Swing | 116 | 116 | 144 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | La Pulga | - | 95 | 118 | -23 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | What A Fortune | - | 95 | 130 | -35 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points