Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 26 APRIL FM 77 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Bella Rosa
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Wokonda 3 58.5 1 0.00 2.5 79 68 79 +0 2 Bella Rosa 5 52.0 2 0.75 0.0 64 64 64 +0 3 Mamaquera 5 58.0 3 1.00 0.0 73 76 76 +3 4 English Primrose 3 54.0 4 4.00 2.5 69 60 60 -9 5 Devilish Dancer 4 56.0 5 4.75 1.0 69 66 66 -3 6 Greek Miss 3 60.0 6 5.00 2.5 82 71 72 -10 7 Elusive Woman 4 59.5 7 5.75 1.0 76 73 73 -3 8 Petunia 4 52.5 8 8.50 1.0 57 59 59 +2 9 Theroseofbecharre 3 52.0 9 9.25 2.5 69 55 59 -10 10 Damova 3 58.0 10 9.50 2.5 78 67 68 -10 11 Zulu War Cry 4 52.0 11 12.50 1.0 50 58 58 +8 99 Ms Flower Power 4 49.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 52 52 +0 99 You Deserve It 4 59.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 72 72 +0 99 Saint Anastasia 3 56.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wokonda | 79 | 89 | 79 | +10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Bella Rosa Line | 64 | 58 | 64 | -6 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Mamaquera | 73 | 60 | 76 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | English Primrose | 69 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Devilish Dancer | 69 | 50 | 66 | -16 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Greek Miss | 82 | 91 | 72 | +19 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Elusive Woman | 76 | 65 | 73 | -8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Petunia | 57 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Theroseofbecharre | 69 | 66 | 59 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Damova | 78 | 85 | 68 | +17 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Zulu War Cry | 50 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ms Flower Power | - | 61 | 52 | +9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | You Deserve It | - | 67 | 72 | -5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Saint Anastasia | - | 63 | 64 | -1 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points