Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: BOOSHLE G, AYANDA MVP AND NEON DREAMS LIVE 29 NOVEMBER MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Guerilla Warfare
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Speedman 3 58.5 1 0.00 6.0 83 72 83 +0 2 Monkey Puzzle 4 61.5 2 1.50 3.5 75 86 86 +11 3 Carnelo 6 51.0 3 1.70 0.0 62 72 72 +10 4 Guerilla Warfare 3 58.5 4 2.40 6.0 74 74 74 +0 5 Golden Aspen 6 54.0 5 3.10 0.0 60 77 77 +17 6 Bay Empire 2 60.0 6 6.20 0.0 72 87 87 +15 7 King Bluetooth 2 52.0 7 14.70 0.0 66 71 71 +5 99 Fifth Of July 5 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 83 83 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Speedman | 83 | 102 | 83 | +19 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Monkey Puzzle | 75 | 79 | 86 | -7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Carnelo | 62 | 75 | 72 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Guerilla Warfare Line | 74 | 75 | 74 | +1 | 6.0 | ||
| 5 | Golden Aspen | 60 | 66 | 77 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Bay Empire | 72 | 62 | 87 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | King Bluetooth | 66 | 53 | 71 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Fifth Of July | - | 63 | 83 | -20 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points