Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE APPRENTICE MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and mares)

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Line Horse
Baltic Assayer
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Roy's Grace          4    56.0    1    0.00     4.0   59    50           50    -9
2    Cali Bullet          3    54.0    2    3.10     7.0   -     42           42    +42
3    Echo                 3    56.0    3    5.40     7.0   67    44           57    -10
4    Baltic Assayer       2    56.0    4    7.10     0.0   58    58           58    +0
5    Sugar Baby Love      3    54.0    5    7.40     7.0   68    40           58    -10
6    Spanish Feud         2    55.5    6    8.90     0.0   66    57           57    -9
7    Stampede Ahead       2    58.0    7    15.30    0.0   77    62           67    -10
8    Artic Al             3    55.5    8    25.80    7.0   -     43           43    +43
9    World Of Flowers     2    56.5    9    25.85    0.0   57    59           59    +2
10   Glorious Butterfly   3    58.5    10   38.65    7.0   66    49           56    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Roy's Grace 59 63 50 +13 4.0 -
2 Cali Bullet - 70 42 +28 7.0 -
3 Echo 67 67 57 +10 7.0 -
4 Baltic Assayer Line 58 53 58 -5 0.0
5 Sugar Baby Love 68 67 58 +9 7.0 -
6 Spanish Feud 66 67 57 +10 0.0 -
7 Stampede Ahead 77 76 67 +9 0.0 -
8 Artic Al - 46 43 +3 7.0 -
9 World Of Flowers 57 54 59 -5 0.0 -
10 Glorious Butterfly 66 66 56 +10 7.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points