Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: BUY 4 SUMMER GARDEN TICKETS ONLY PAY FOR 3 FM 72 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Can't Catch Me
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ringa Ringa Roses 2 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 81 69 81 +0 2 Opera Fan 2 57.0 2 1.50 0.0 78 69 69 -9 3 Grace's Kiss 3 59.5 3 3.80 7.0 83 58 73 -10 4 Can't Catch Me 5 53.0 4 5.05 0.0 58 58 58 +0 5 Heavenly Good 2 58.5 5 5.30 0.0 81 69 71 -10 6 Kylie's Angel 3 52.0 6 5.40 7.0 52 42 42 -10 7 Bold Action 2 57.0 7 6.10 0.0 78 66 68 -10 8 Lapis Lazuli 3 54.0 8 6.85 7.0 65 46 55 -10 9 Salt Lake City 2 56.0 9 11.10 0.0 84 64 74 -10 10 Fair Proposal 2 57.5 10 12.85 0.0 79 67 69 -10 99 Madame Pompadour 2 54.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 61 61 +0 99 Together Again 5 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 56 56 +0 99 Concordia 2 55.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 63 63 +0 99 Spirited Girl 4 56.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 56 56 +0 99 Fire In Her Soul 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 72 72 +0 99 Sheets And Goggles 3 58.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 54 54 +0 99 Far Reaching 2 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 69 69 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ringa Ringa Roses | 81 | 87 | 81 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Opera Fan | 78 | 81 | 69 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Grace's Kiss | 83 | 82 | 73 | +9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Can't Catch Me Line | 58 | 58 | 58 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Heavenly Good | 81 | 77 | 71 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Kylie's Angel | 52 | 60 | 42 | +18 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Bold Action | 78 | 62 | 68 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Lapis Lazuli | 65 | 59 | 55 | +4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Salt Lake City | 84 | 82 | 74 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Fair Proposal | 79 | 83 | 69 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Madame Pompadour | - | 56 | 61 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Together Again | - | 55 | 56 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Concordia | - | 69 | 63 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Spirited Girl | - | 61 | 56 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Fire In Her Soul | - | 88 | 72 | +16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sheets And Goggles | - | 63 | 54 | +9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Far Reaching | - | 63 | 69 | -6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points