Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)

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Line Horse
Winter Waves
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Ibutho               7    62.5    1    0.00     0.0   75    83           81    +6
2    Navajo Dancer        2    52.5    2    1.30     5.0   55    53           53    -2
3    Winter Waves         7    57.5    3    1.60     0.0   73    73           73    +0
4    Counter Attack       3    60.0    4    1.90     7.5   70    63           63    -7
5    Got The Word         2    54.5    5    4.40     5.0   59    57           57    -2
6    Ndaka                3    55.5    6    5.40     7.5   64    54           54    -10
7    Master Silvano       2    60.5    7    7.80     5.0   81    69           71    -10
8    Mask On              3    55.5    8    7.85     7.5   61    54           54    -7
9    Mc Dazzler           2    48.0    9    9.65     5.0   54    44           44    -10
10   Unicorn Alert        3    57.0    10   15.85    7.5   64    57           57    -7
99   Willow Gem           2    60.0    99   0.00     5.0   -     68           68    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Ibutho 75 83 81 +2 0.0 -
2 Navajo Dancer 55 56 53 +3 5.0 -
3 Winter Waves Line 73 77 73 +4 0.0
4 Counter Attack 70 67 63 +4 7.5 -
5 Got The Word 59 52 57 -5 5.0 -
6 Ndaka 64 61 54 +7 7.5 -
7 Master Silvano 81 73 71 +2 5.0 -
8 Mask On 61 52 54 -2 7.5 -
9 Mc Dazzler 54 54 44 +10 5.0 -
10 Unicorn Alert 64 61 57 +4 7.5 -
99 Willow Gem - 77 68 +9 5.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points