Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: WSB GRAND HERITAGE 20 DECEMBER MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Flashy Apache
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Diesel's Shadow 4 55.5 1 0.00 3.5 77 75 77 +0 2 Flashy Apache 6 54.5 2 2.25 0.0 83 83 83 +0 3 Robert Browning 3 56.5 3 3.75 7.0 80 71 71 -9 4 Olympian Gold 2 51.5 4 3.85 0.0 88 75 78 -10 5 Jordan 4 60.0 5 4.25 3.5 86 85 85 -1 6 Kudzu 2 60.0 6 5.35 0.0 86 91 91 +5 7 Mount Darwin 3 61.0 7 7.05 7.0 88 79 79 -9 8 Dj Junior 3 59.5 8 7.25 7.0 85 76 76 -9 9 Eiger Sanction 3 57.5 9 8.95 7.0 81 72 72 -9 10 American Rebel 4 57.0 10 9.55 3.5 83 78 78 -5 11 Dark Silver 4 59.5 11 11.25 3.5 85 83 83 -2 12 We Are The Logans 2 59.5 12 12.85 0.0 85 90 90 +5 13 Twenty Drachma's 4 60.5 13 16.85 3.5 87 85 85 -2 14 Molotov Cocktail 3 55.5 14 24.85 7.0 78 68 68 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diesel's Shadow | 77 | 80 | 77 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Flashy Apache Line | 83 | 78 | 83 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Robert Browning | 80 | 87 | 71 | +16 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Olympian Gold | 88 | 86 | 78 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Jordan | 86 | 88 | 85 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Kudzu | 86 | 80 | 91 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mount Darwin | 88 | 81 | 79 | +2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Dj Junior | 85 | 79 | 76 | +3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Eiger Sanction | 81 | 79 | 72 | +7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | American Rebel | 83 | 81 | 78 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Dark Silver | 85 | 84 | 83 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | We Are The Logans | 85 | 73 | 90 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Twenty Drachma's | 87 | 83 | 85 | -2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 14 | Molotov Cocktail | 78 | 78 | 68 | +10 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points