Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: THE JULY IN CHRISTMAS MILE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)
Line Horse
Lucky Dollar
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Down By The River 2 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 77 75 75 -2 2 Lucky Dollar 2 61.5 2 2.50 0.0 85 85 85 +0 2 Royal Sword 2 53.5 2 2.50 0.0 81 69 71 -10 4 Targaryen Knight 2 52.5 4 3.20 0.0 82 67 72 -10 5 Turbo Twenty 2 59.0 5 4.60 0.0 80 78 78 -2 6 Sign Of Fate 4 54.5 6 5.50 3.0 79 63 69 -10 7 Ingqwele 3 58.5 7 6.00 6.0 79 65 69 -10 8 Teatime Tipple 2 54.0 8 8.80 0.0 70 68 68 -2 99 Sweeper Keeper 4 51.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 56 56 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Down By The River | 77 | 95 | 75 | +20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Lucky Dollar Line | 85 | 85 | 85 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 2 | Royal Sword | 81 | 87 | 71 | +16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Targaryen Knight | 82 | 78 | 72 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Turbo Twenty | 80 | 80 | 78 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sign Of Fate | 79 | 74 | 69 | +5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Ingqwele | 79 | 84 | 69 | +15 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Teatime Tipple | 70 | 69 | 68 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sweeper Keeper | - | 67 | 56 | +11 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points