Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: THE MISTLETOE MILE CLASS 3 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 96)
Line Horse
Capsaicin
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Winter Games 4 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 97 96 96 -1 2 Treaty Of Paris 2 54.5 2 0.20 0.0 98 91 91 -7 3 Capsaicin 4 55.0 3 1.25 3.0 90 90 90 +0 4 Kitchakal 5 56.5 4 2.15 0.0 90 98 98 +8 5 Imposing 2 59.5 5 2.30 0.0 96 103 103 +7 6 Trois Trois Quatre 5 58.5 6 6.20 0.0 94 99 99 +5 7 Wiccan Warrior 2 56.0 7 6.80 0.0 89 94 94 +5 8 Tirpitz 6 54.5 8 8.50 0.0 86 91 91 +5 9 Rosh Kedesh 5 57.5 9 9.40 0.0 92 97 97 +5 10 Go Grayson Go 3 60.0 10 9.50 6.0 97 90 90 -7 11 Etiquette 3 51.5 11 12.50 6.0 85 73 75 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winter Games | 97 | 103 | 96 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Treaty Of Paris | 98 | 100 | 91 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Capsaicin Line | 90 | 88 | 90 | -2 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Kitchakal | 90 | 86 | 98 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Imposing | 96 | 107 | 103 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Trois Trois Quatre | 94 | 87 | 99 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Wiccan Warrior | 89 | 80 | 94 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Tirpitz | 86 | 82 | 91 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Rosh Kedesh | 92 | 88 | 97 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Go Grayson Go | 97 | 95 | 90 | +5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Etiquette | 85 | 83 | 75 | +8 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points