Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: BUFFALO CHARGE MERIT RATED 65 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
House Of Lords
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 4
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 4
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 4
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Kagura 4 61.0 1 0.00 3.5 68 66 68 +0 2 House Of Lords 3 52.0 2 1.25 7.0 47 47 47 +0 3 Fearless Bomber 3 52.0 3 1.50 7.0 44 46 46 +2 4 Burn Bright 3 58.0 4 4.50 7.0 62 54 54 -8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagura | 68 | 72 | 68 | +4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | House Of Lords Line | 47 | 49 | 47 | +2 | 7.0 | ||
| 3 | Fearless Bomber | 44 | 56 | 46 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Burn Bright | 62 | 68 | 54 | +14 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points