Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: WORLD SPORTS BETTING SCARLET LADY (Listed) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Twicethequality
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lyrical Dance 4 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 95 88 88 -7 2 Jacqueline 6 57.0 2 0.50 0.0 81 90 90 +9 3 Princess Anastasia 4 54.5 3 1.00 1.5 78 81 81 +3 4 Twicethequality 4 54.5 4 1.30 1.5 80 80 80 +0 5 Only The Brave 4 58.5 5 1.60 1.5 87 88 88 +1 6 Keep On Dancing 5 60.0 6 1.85 0.0 94 94 94 +0 7 Aquae Sulis 5 58.5 7 2.05 0.0 87 91 91 +4 8 Scented Mistress 4 60.0 8 3.15 1.5 93 90 90 -3 9 Victoria Paige 5 60.0 9 3.85 0.0 93 92 92 -1 10 Black Silver 4 60.0 10 4.75 1.5 94 88 88 -6 11 Glory Days 5 60.0 11 5.15 0.0 94 91 91 -3 99 Fantastical 4 57.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 82 82 +0 99 Jackson Wells 5 57.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 85 85 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyrical Dance | 95 | 95 | 88 | +7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Jacqueline | 81 | 83 | 90 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Princess Anastasia | 78 | 90 | 81 | +9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Twicethequality Line | 80 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | ||
| 5 | Only The Brave | 87 | 86 | 88 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Keep On Dancing | 94 | 92 | 94 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Aquae Sulis | 87 | 69 | 91 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Scented Mistress | 93 | 96 | 90 | +6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Victoria Paige | 93 | 83 | 92 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Black Silver | 94 | 86 | 88 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Glory Days | 94 | 92 | 91 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Fantastical | - | 76 | 82 | -6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Jackson Wells | - | 76 | 85 | -9 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points