Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: WSB GRAND HERITAGE 20 DECEMBER MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Jordan
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Hawkbill 4 59.5 1 0.00 3.5 95 93 95 +0 2 Vesuvio 5 55.5 2 1.25 0.0 87 96 96 +9 3 Jordan 4 55.0 3 2.55 3.5 86 86 86 +0 4 Tommy Shelby 2 53.5 4 2.95 0.0 97 90 90 -7 5 Battleground 5 57.5 5 3.55 0.0 91 97 97 +6 6 Arumugam 6 52.0 6 3.65 0.0 79 86 86 +7 7 Chestnut Bomber 3 59.0 7 3.85 7.0 95 86 86 -9 8 Flashy Apache 6 49.5 8 4.65 0.0 83 80 80 -3 9 King's Express 3 60.5 9 4.85 7.0 102 88 92 -10 10 Beynac 2 57.5 10 8.15 0.0 92 96 96 +4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hawkbill | 95 | 100 | 95 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Vesuvio | 87 | 85 | 96 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Jordan Line | 86 | 88 | 86 | +2 | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | Tommy Shelby | 97 | 101 | 90 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Battleground | 91 | 92 | 97 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Arumugam | 79 | 74 | 86 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Chestnut Bomber | 95 | 90 | 86 | +4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Flashy Apache | 83 | 78 | 80 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | King's Express | 102 | 102 | 92 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Beynac | 92 | 90 | 96 | -6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points