Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 NOVICE HANDICAP (Maidens & 1 time winners)
Line Horse
Red Penny
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Antonio Gaudi 2 57.0 1 0.00 4.0 79 90 79 +0 2 Red Penny 2 55.5 2 0.80 4.0 87 87 87 +0 3 Splittheeights 3 59.0 3 1.00 6.0 91 90 90 -1 4 Spy Story 3 50.5 4 1.80 6.0 71 73 73 +2 5 Romilly 2 56.5 5 2.10 4.0 86 89 89 +3 6 Quiet Winter 2 54.5 6 2.30 4.0 82 85 85 +3 7 Eight Hats 2 52.0 7 3.60 4.0 76 80 80 +4 8 Clever Trevor 2 58.5 8 3.65 4.0 90 93 93 +3 9 Can You Danse 3 57.5 9 3.75 6.0 80 87 87 +7 10 Sunset Warrior 2 55.0 10 3.85 4.0 83 86 86 +3 11 Believe In Fate 2 60.0 11 4.55 4.0 85 96 96 +11 12 Ready Set Fire 2 56.0 12 5.55 4.0 77 88 88 +11 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonio Gaudi | 79 | 82 | 79 | +3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Red Penny Line | 87 | 85 | 87 | -2 | 4.0 | ||
| 3 | Splittheeights | 91 | 109 | 90 | +19 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Spy Story | 71 | 66 | 73 | -7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Romilly | 86 | 87 | 89 | -2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Quiet Winter | 82 | 79 | 85 | -6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Eight Hats | 76 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Clever Trevor | 90 | 89 | 93 | -4 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Can You Danse | 80 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Sunset Warrior | 83 | 76 | 86 | -10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Believe In Fate | 85 | 85 | 96 | -11 | 4.0 | - | |
| 12 | Ready Set Fire | 77 | 69 | 88 | -19 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points