Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING MONDAY 22 DECEMBER FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Alex Miller
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Haze And Smoke 2 61.0 1 0.00 0.0 78 86 78 +0 2 City Of Dreams 3 56.5 2 0.05 5.0 59 67 67 +8 3 Izanami 3 61.5 3 0.15 5.0 69 77 77 +8 4 Alex Miller 3 58.5 4 0.20 5.0 71 71 71 +0 5 Just One Kiss 2 57.5 5 0.95 0.0 71 83 83 +12 6 Colorama 6 53.5 6 2.95 0.0 53 73 73 +20 7 Queen Of Jazz 2 59.5 7 3.00 0.0 65 85 85 +20 8 Voorsmaakie 2 54.5 8 3.05 0.0 63 75 75 +12 9 Keenia's Princess 3 56.0 9 3.10 5.0 58 68 68 +10 10 Kilmonivaig 5 58.0 10 4.35 0.0 62 80 80 +18 11 Opera Verse 4 50.0 11 5.85 3.0 54 58 58 +4 12 Amazing Colours 4 58.5 12 7.35 3.0 63 75 75 +12 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haze And Smoke | 78 | 85 | 78 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | City Of Dreams | 59 | 59 | 67 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Izanami | 69 | 72 | 77 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Alex Miller Line | 71 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | ||
| 5 | Just One Kiss | 71 | 68 | 83 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Colorama | 53 | 54 | 73 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Queen Of Jazz | 65 | 63 | 85 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Voorsmaakie | 63 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Keenia's Princess | 58 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Kilmonivaig | 62 | 56 | 80 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Opera Verse | 54 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Amazing Colours | 63 | 59 | 75 | -16 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points