Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: BET WITH TOTE MIDDLE STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Terminator
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Plum Pudding 3 56.0 1 0.00 7.0 88 72 72 -16 2 Queue Wing 7 54.5 2 0.40 0.0 83 90 90 +7 3 Terminator 4 57.0 3 1.80 3.5 86 86 86 +0 4 Trois Trois Quatre 5 60.0 4 2.40 0.0 93 98 98 +5 5 Jp's Palace 3 58.5 5 4.00 7.0 88 79 79 -9 6 French Trip 4 57.0 6 4.10 3.5 85 83 83 -2 7 African Dusk 5 55.5 7 4.20 0.0 80 87 87 +7 8 Power Star 2 51.0 8 5.50 0.0 58 76 76 +18 9 Gurkha 3 55.5 9 6.30 7.0 81 71 71 -10 10 The Golden Goal 4 50.0 10 20.10 3.5 55 67 67 +12 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plum Pudding | 88 | 90 | 72 | +18 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Queue Wing | 83 | 81 | 90 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Terminator Line | 86 | 86 | 86 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | Trois Trois Quatre | 93 | 87 | 98 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Jp's Palace | 88 | 93 | 79 | +14 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | French Trip | 85 | 88 | 83 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | African Dusk | 80 | 83 | 87 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Power Star | 58 | 58 | 76 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Gurkha | 81 | 80 | 71 | +9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | The Golden Goal | 55 | 55 | 67 | -12 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points