Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE C STAKES (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares)
Line Horse
Miraculous
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Shesgotclass 3 62.5 1 0.00 6.0 82 81 81 -1 2 One Dance 3 60.0 2 0.40 6.0 75 76 76 +1 3 Miraculous 3 61.5 3 1.40 6.0 79 79 79 +0 4 Maritzburg Memory 2 60.0 4 1.70 4.0 77 80 80 +3 5 Call Of The Karoo 2 57.0 5 2.20 4.0 79 74 74 -5 6 Lhasa 2 56.0 6 6.20 4.0 76 72 72 -4 7 Splash Of Colour 2 57.0 7 8.70 4.0 79 74 74 -5 8 Saachi One 3 60.0 8 10.20 6.0 85 76 76 -9 9 December Dawn 2 61.5 9 18.20 4.0 80 83 83 +3 10 Got The Look 2 58.5 10 18.50 4.0 81 77 77 -4 11 American Ultra 2 60.0 11 28.50 4.0 76 80 80 +4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shesgotclass | 82 | 89 | 81 | +8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | One Dance | 75 | 82 | 76 | +6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Miraculous Line | 79 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Maritzburg Memory | 77 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Call Of The Karoo | 79 | 79 | 74 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lhasa | 76 | 65 | 72 | -7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Splash Of Colour | 79 | 76 | 74 | +2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Saachi One | 85 | 80 | 76 | +4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | December Dawn | 80 | 78 | 83 | -5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Got The Look | 81 | 76 | 77 | -1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | American Ultra | 76 | 76 | 80 | -4 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points