Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: RACING240 MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Rototo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Global Drumbeat 3 57.5 1 0.00 7.0 62 55 62 +0 2 Olive Oyl 2 60.0 2 0.25 0.0 80 74 74 -6 3 Rototo 3 57.5 3 0.75 7.0 61 61 61 +0 4 Donny's Boy 3 60.0 4 1.50 7.0 67 65 65 -2 5 Garden Sun 3 57.5 5 1.75 7.0 70 60 60 -10 6 Golden Grey 4 61.0 6 1.85 3.5 68 74 74 +6 7 Outback Express 2 56.0 7 3.60 0.0 80 69 70 -10 8 Rock Of Futura 2 59.0 8 4.85 0.0 78 72 72 -6 9 Potent Captain 4 55.0 9 5.35 3.5 56 57 57 +1 10 Pardon Me 5 56.0 10 6.60 0.0 58 66 66 +8 11 Oranjemund 4 59.5 11 8.85 3.5 65 66 66 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Global Drumbeat | 62 | 65 | 62 | +3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Olive Oyl | 80 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Rototo Line | 61 | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | ||
| 4 | Donny's Boy | 67 | 68 | 65 | +3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Garden Sun | 70 | 69 | 60 | +9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Golden Grey | 68 | 64 | 74 | -10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Outback Express | 80 | 71 | 70 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Rock Of Futura | 78 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Potent Captain | 56 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Pardon Me | 58 | 53 | 66 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Oranjemund | 65 | 63 | 66 | -3 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points