Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING TUESDAY 6 JANUARY MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Pyromaniac
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Tripping Thunder 3 60.5 1 0.00 4.0 77 67 77 +0 2 Wild Fig 2 58.0 2 0.75 0.0 81 74 74 -7 3 Pyromaniac 6 58.5 3 2.50 0.0 73 73 73 +0 4 Flight Engineer 3 53.0 4 2.75 4.0 62 54 54 -8 5 King Viserys 4 55.0 5 7.25 2.5 74 59 64 -10 6 Ichacha 3 59.0 6 7.50 4.0 74 64 64 -10 7 Arlu 2 58.0 7 7.60 0.0 81 70 71 -10 8 Grand Allegro 3 54.0 8 9.10 4.0 72 54 62 -10 9 Donny Tee 4 59.5 9 9.85 2.5 75 68 68 -7 10 Coral Creek 3 59.0 10 10.10 4.0 74 64 64 -10 11 Real War 2 61.0 11 10.85 0.0 78 76 76 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tripping Thunder | 77 | 85 | 77 | +8 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Wild Fig | 81 | 82 | 74 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Pyromaniac Line | 73 | 71 | 73 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Flight Engineer | 62 | 58 | 54 | +4 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | King Viserys | 74 | 73 | 64 | +9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Ichacha | 74 | 74 | 64 | +10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Arlu | 81 | 68 | 71 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Grand Allegro | 72 | 62 | 62 | ✓ Match | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Donny Tee | 75 | 68 | 68 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Coral Creek | 74 | 73 | 64 | +9 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Real War | 78 | 73 | 76 | -3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points