Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)
Line Horse
In The Bag
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Town Crier 2 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 77 70 70 -7 2 In The Bag 4 55.5 2 1.80 2.5 61 61 61 +0 3 Intrepid 3 60.5 3 3.20 4.0 71 67 67 -4 4 Joshua Hotsnake 3 58.0 4 4.30 4.0 66 60 60 -6 5 Heaven's Will 3 59.0 5 6.40 4.0 73 62 63 -10 6 Claymore 2 55.5 6 31.10 0.0 61 63 63 +2 99 Indecent Proposal 4 56.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 60 60 +0 99 Thunderbird 4 61.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 69 69 +0 99 One Armed Bandit 3 63.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 70 70 +0 99 Trippi's Silk 4 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Town Crier | 77 | 81 | 70 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | In The Bag Line | 61 | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | Intrepid | 71 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Joshua Hotsnake | 66 | 67 | 60 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Heaven's Will | 73 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Claymore | 61 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Indecent Proposal | - | 65 | 60 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Thunderbird | - | 70 | 69 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | One Armed Bandit | - | 72 | 70 | +2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Trippi's Silk | - | 73 | 67 | +6 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points