Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: #YOUCANBETONUS! MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Guerilla Warfare
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Radio Star           2    59.5    1    0.00     0.0   87    86           87    +0
2    Guerilla Warfare     3    59.0    2    4.25     5.0   76    76           76    +0
3    Eiffel Tower         4    58.0    3    5.05     2.5   74    78           78    +4
4    Page Boy             3    60.0    4    5.95     5.0   78    77           77    -1
5    Futurewolff          5    58.5    5    8.55     0.0   75    84           84    +9
6    Elusive Red          3    57.0    6    13.05    5.0   82    71           72    -10
7    Step Into It         2    59.0    7    13.95    0.0   86    85           85    -1
8    Santiago's Pride     3    60.0    8    14.75    5.0   78    77           77    -1
99   Tommy Atkins         3    57.5    99   0.00     5.0   -     72           72    +0
99   Spy Story            3    56.0    99   0.00     5.0   -     69           69    +0
99   Speedman             3    60.0    99   0.00     5.0   -     77           77    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Radio Star 87 102 87 +15 0.0 -
2 Guerilla Warfare Line 76 75 76 -1 5.0
3 Eiffel Tower 74 69 78 -9 2.5 -
4 Page Boy 78 79 77 +2 5.0 -
5 Futurewolff 75 75 84 -9 0.0 -
6 Elusive Red 82 76 72 +4 5.0 -
7 Step Into It 86 76 85 -9 0.0 -
8 Santiago's Pride 78 76 77 -1 5.0 -
99 Tommy Atkins - 83 72 +11 5.0 -
99 Spy Story - 66 69 -3 5.0 -
99 Speedman - 102 77 +25 5.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points