Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)
Line Horse
Im The Buzz
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 True Horizon 4 52.0 1 0.00 6.0 54 42 42 -12 2 Im The Buzz 5 59.0 2 1.25 0.0 68 68 68 +0 3 Black Erika 2 61.0 3 1.30 3.5 79 65 69 -10 4 Lady Look Alike 4 61.5 4 2.30 6.0 73 61 63 -10 5 Why Not Jackie 5 58.5 5 2.35 0.0 67 67 67 +0 6 Black Path 6 52.5 6 2.45 0.0 54 55 55 +1 7 Flying South 2 60.5 7 3.45 3.5 78 64 68 -10 8 Red Beryl 3 61.5 8 3.85 5.0 80 63 70 -10 9 Easy Living 2 48.0 9 4.15 3.5 53 39 43 -10 10 Tres Chic 4 48.0 10 4.45 6.0 52 34 42 -10 11 Playful Joules 2 60.5 11 4.85 3.5 71 64 64 -7 12 Paralegal 2 59.5 12 5.60 3.5 76 62 66 -10 13 Morfeliha 2 61.0 13 9.35 3.5 79 65 69 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | True Horizon | 54 | 60 | 42 | +18 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Im The Buzz Line | 68 | 68 | 68 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Black Erika | 79 | 79 | 69 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Lady Look Alike | 73 | 77 | 63 | +14 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Why Not Jackie | 67 | 65 | 67 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Black Path | 54 | 58 | 55 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Flying South | 78 | 70 | 68 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Red Beryl | 80 | 74 | 70 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Easy Living | 53 | 52 | 43 | +9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Tres Chic | 52 | 52 | 42 | +10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Playful Joules | 71 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Paralegal | 76 | 69 | 66 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 13 | Morfeliha | 79 | 74 | 69 | +5 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points