Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Kentucky Lassie
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Desert Cloud 3 60.0 1 0.00 5.0 72 - 72 +0 2 Kentucky Lassie 3 60.0 2 0.25 5.0 - - - +0 3 Laydelay 2 60.0 3 0.30 3.5 78 3 68 -10 4 Stone Of Scone 2 60.0 4 1.30 3.5 75 3 65 -10 5 Mediterraneanflame 3 60.0 5 2.30 5.0 60 - 56 -4 6 Ripsnorter 4 60.0 6 16.55 6.0 57 -2 47 -10 7 One Summer 2 60.0 7 17.55 3.5 67 3 57 -10 99 Night In Japan 3 56.0 99 0.00 5.0 - -8 -8 +0 99 Miss Mackie 3 60.0 99 0.00 5.0 - - - +0 99 Stormin Attack 3 56.0 99 0.00 5.0 - -8 -8 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desert Cloud | 72 | 78 | 72 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Kentucky Lassie Line | - | 77 | - | +77 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Laydelay | 78 | 76 | 68 | +8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Stone Of Scone | 75 | 72 | 65 | +7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Mediterraneanflame | 60 | 60 | 56 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Ripsnorter | 57 | 57 | 47 | +10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | One Summer | 67 | 69 | 57 | +12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Night In Japan | - | 49 | -8 | +57 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Miss Mackie | - | 49 | - | - | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Stormin Attack | - | 46 | -8 | +54 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points