Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 MIDDLE STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Avernian Goddess
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Golden Pavilion 2 60.0 1 0.00 3.5 92 96 96 +4 2 Champonelle 4 60.0 2 0.05 6.0 88 91 91 +3 3 El Romiachi 8 52.0 3 1.55 0.0 81 87 87 +6 4 Avernian Goddess 3 56.0 4 1.80 5.0 85 85 85 +0 5 Whatever Next 6 54.0 5 1.85 0.0 76 91 91 +15 6 Speed Racer 4 60.0 6 1.95 6.0 88 91 91 +3 7 Coastal Path 5 56.5 7 2.05 0.0 78 96 96 +18 8 Masked Vigilante 3 56.0 8 2.10 5.0 80 85 85 +5 9 Forest Spy 2 60.0 9 4.35 3.5 88 96 96 +8 10 Pas De Nom 2 60.0 10 8.60 3.5 92 96 96 +4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Golden Pavilion | 92 | 95 | 96 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Champonelle | 88 | 87 | 91 | -4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | El Romiachi | 81 | 77 | 87 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Avernian Goddess Line | 85 | 91 | 85 | +6 | 5.0 | ||
| 5 | Whatever Next | 76 | 73 | 91 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Speed Racer | 88 | 88 | 91 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Coastal Path | 78 | 77 | 96 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Masked Vigilante | 80 | 78 | 85 | -7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Forest Spy | 88 | 85 | 96 | -11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Pas De Nom | 92 | 91 | 96 | -5 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points